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Choosing a Broker

samedi 31 mars 2018
Choosing a broker is very dedicate decision, because after investing the money we are not capable to maintain our trading without brokers support and the broker can affects the result of our trading with certainly, that’s why we the traders have to choose our brokers in cool mind, now I am trading with LQDFX which is more appropriate to the concept of trading that I always use. I always depend on scalping and that’s why I have chosen this STP platform due to proper environment for scalping by means of flexible trading spreads from 0 pips. So, my trading life is very much comfortable.



Choosing a Broker
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Do you trade for money or emotional satisfaction?

samedi 31 mars 2018
DO YOU WANT TO BE ENTERTAINED OR RICH?…IT’S YOUR CHOICE

I came across this excellent chart the other day. It shows those times in history when the S&P 500 doubled over a ten year period and the trajectory that this doubling took.

Please see here for a relevant chart: https://www.tradinggame.com.au/want-...d-rich-choice/

Much commentary that followed on twitter related to the steady low volatility climb that characterised the latest run and how boring this was. One of the interesting thing about markets and money in general is that people betray their true desires and personality.

Markets are the true window into the soul and in this instance what traders were actually saying is that they wanted to be entertained and not rich. The constant current moaning about the lack of volatility is little more than the plaintiff cries of children who bedevil their parents every school holidays with cries of …I’m bored.

This lay observation tallies with what others have found. The seminal work in this field of trader immaturity is An Analysis of the Profiles and Motivations of Habitual Commodity Speculators by W.B. Canoles, S.R. Thompson, S.H. Irwin, and V.G. France. I have summarised their findings below and have added my own emphasis.

“The typical trader assumes a good deal of risk in most phases of his life. He is both an aggressive investor and an active gambler.

[He] does not consider preservation of capital to be a very high trading priority.

As a result, he rarely uses stop loss orders. He wins more frequently than he loses (over 51% of the time) but is an overall net loser in dollar terms. In spite of recurring trading losses, he has never made any substantial change in his basic trading style.

To this trader, whether he won or lost on a particular trade is more important than the size of the win or loss. Thus he consistently cuts his profits short while letting his losses run.

He also worries more about missing a move in the market by being on the sidelines than about losing by being on the wrong side of a market move; i.e., being in the action is more important than the financial consequences.

Participating brokers confirmed that for the majority of the speculators studied, the primary motivation for continuous trading is the recreational utility derived largely from having a market position.

Numerous indications in our survey indicate that they are not trading solely or even primarily for profit, but may be maximizing excitement or the number of winning trades.”

So we come back to the original question. Do you want to rich or be entertained as the choice is entirely yours.

Author: Chris Tate
Article reproduced with kind permission of Tradinggame.com.au.

The article is concluded by the quotes below:


“It's in your best interest to focus on building your trading skills rather than on achieving a huge profit every month.” – Joe Ross

“No matter how good you may think you are, nobody is bigger than the market and it will beat you to your knees if you don't treat it with the respect it deserves.” - Adrian Alberts

“Trading does not have to be very difficult — what can be difficult is finding the right path early on and properly understanding the major impact of your mental state on your trading results” - Gabriel Grammatidis



www.tallinex.com wants you to be a successful trader


Trading realities: http://www.advfnbooks.com/books/unlo...ial/index.html



Do you trade for money or emotional satisfaction?
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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 26 - 30, 2018)

samedi 24 mars 2018
Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Neutral
This pair has consolidated so far this month. Price has been ranging between the support line at 1.2250 and the resistance line at 1.2450. This week may see an end to the neutrality of the market, as price would either move above the resistance line at 1.2450 (staying above it); or it would move below the support line at 0.2250 (staying below it). However, a strong movement to the south is much more likely this week, owing to a bearish outlook on EUR pairs.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
In the short-term, this pair is bullish. Since the support level at 0.9200 was tested in February 16, 2018, price has rallied by over 350 pips, moving briefly above the resistance level at 0.9550. The market has been corrected lower since then, closing below the resistance level at 0.9500. A rally from here would save the bullish bias; while a plunge from here would render it invalid. Nonetheless, the market is more likely to go upwards as a result of a bearish outlook on EURUSD.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bullish
The bias on GBPUSD has become bullish again, for price went upwards by 250 pups last week. Even the movement this month has been largely bullish (price has gained a minimum of 400 pips). The distribution territory at 1.4200 was tested, but price closed below the distribution territory at 1.4100 on Friday. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern the market, which points to a possibility of further bullish journey, as price targets the distribution territories of 1.4150, 1.4200 and 1.4250. This, nevertheless, cannot rule out a possibility of a strong pullback in the market. GBP pairs will experience high volatility this week.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The pair traded southwards last week, to corroborate the presence of bears. Since January 8, 2018, price has lost 830 pips. It lost 170 pips last week, after testing the supply level at 106.50. Since there is a huge Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, price can still reach the demand levels at 104.50, 104.00 and 103.50 before the end of this week. A rally may occur along the way, but it should not be something that would override the extant bearish outlook on the market.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
Although the market is choppy, the bearish trend has been maintained. Price has been going southward since February 5, having lost almost 800 pips since then. Last week, there was a rally attempt in the context of an uptrend, which was halted once the supply zone at 131.50 was tested. The market shed 250 pips following that, to test the demand zone at 129.00, and closed below the supply zone at 129.50. The expected weakness in EUR, as well as the bearish outlook on the market, may enable the demand zones at 129.00, 128.50 and 128.00 to be tested this week.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The cross is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. This is a choppy market: An abortive bullish attempt was made last week, but that was rejected as the supply zone at 150.00 was tested. Price came down after that, thus cancelling the short-term effect of the bullish attempt. This week, there may not be any rallies that will cancel the existing bearishness in the market. Price could go further southwards, but it is not expected to go below the demand zone at 145.00, which is the ultimate target for the week.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Volatility is good for trading… Volatility can and should be used to a trader’s advantage. It all comes back to understanding and believing in your trading system.” - Jasper Lawler

Source: www.tallinex.com



Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 26 - 30, 2018)
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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 26 - 30, 2018)

samedi 24 mars 2018
Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Neutral
This pair has consolidated so far this month. Price has been ranging between the support line at 1.2250 and the resistance line at 1.2450. This week may see an end to the neutrality of the market, as price would either move above the resistance line at 1.2450 (staying above it); or it would move below the support line at 0.2250 (staying below it). However, a strong movement to the south is much more likely this week, owing to a bearish outlook on EUR pairs.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
In the short-term, this pair is bullish. Since the support level at 0.9200 was tested in February 16, 2018, price has rallied by over 350 pips, moving briefly above the resistance level at 0.9550. The market has been corrected lower since then, closing below the resistance level at 0.9500. A rally from here would save the bullish bias; while a plunge from here would render it invalid. Nonetheless, the market is more likely to go upwards as a result of a bearish outlook on EURUSD.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bullish
The bias on GBPUSD has become bullish again, for price went upwards by 250 pups last week. Even the movement this month has been largely bullish (price has gained a minimum of 400 pips). The distribution territory at 1.4200 was tested, but price closed below the distribution territory at 1.4100 on Friday. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern the market, which points to a possibility of further bullish journey, as price targets the distribution territories of 1.4150, 1.4200 and 1.4250. This, nevertheless, cannot rule out a possibility of a strong pullback in the market. GBP pairs will experience high volatility this week.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The pair traded southwards last week, to corroborate the presence of bears. Since January 8, 2018, price has lost 830 pips. It lost 170 pips last week, after testing the supply level at 106.50. Since there is a huge Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, price can still reach the demand levels at 104.50, 104.00 and 103.50 before the end of this week. A rally may occur along the way, but it should not be something that would override the extant bearish outlook on the market.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
Although the market is choppy, the bearish trend has been maintained. Price has been going southward since February 5, having lost almost 800 pips since then. Last week, there was a rally attempt in the context of an uptrend, which was halted once the supply zone at 131.50 was tested. The market shed 250 pips following that, to test the demand zone at 129.00, and closed below the supply zone at 129.50. The expected weakness in EUR, as well as the bearish outlook on the market, may enable the demand zones at 129.00, 128.50 and 128.00 to be tested this week.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The cross is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. This is a choppy market: An abortive bullish attempt was made last week, but that was rejected as the supply zone at 150.00 was tested. Price came down after that, thus cancelling the short-term effect of the bullish attempt. This week, there may not be any rallies that will cancel the existing bearishness in the market. Price could go further southwards, but it is not expected to go below the demand zone at 145.00, which is the ultimate target for the week.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Volatility is good for trading… Volatility can and should be used to a trader’s advantage. It all comes back to understanding and believing in your trading system.” - Jasper Lawler

Source: www.tallinex.com



Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 26 - 30, 2018)
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Forex Trading Platforms

jeudi 22 mars 2018
There's a lot of currency trading platform being offered by many Forex brokers. Alpari offers Forex platforms that include the MT4 and MT5 platforms and the BinaryTrader platform for binary options trading. There might be several forex trading platforms to choose from, but it's important that you use the platform you’re comfortable using.



Forex Trading Platforms
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What scalping ?

jeudi 22 mars 2018
Scalping is like high action thriller movies that can keep on the edge of your seat. And its brings profit very rapidly. That’s why we the traders are extremely dependable on this trading approach. But in spite of a profitable trading policy scalping cannot use in a proper way due to many restrictions in any trading platforms. By the way now I am very lucky to choose LQDFX which permits scalping including lowest trading spreads as well minimum margin requirements. so, my trading life is very much comfortable.



What scalping ?
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Trading on a wheelchair – Life’s lessons

lundi 19 mars 2018
A TRUE LIFE STORY OF A VETERAN TRADER

We were in a midst of a popular monthly traders’ forum when an elderly man on a wheelchair was helped into the hall.

The moderator asked us to stand up for the man, whom he called “a soldier on the battlefield of the financial markets.”

As the forum was about to be concluded, someone suggested that we allow the professional on a wheelchair to give a short speech.

A mic was given to him. He held the mic and said:

“My fellow traders. Thank you for standing up for me, and thank you for giving me a privilege to talk in this forum.

I started trading 12 years ago. And I am still trading. I will trade for as long as I breathe. I am one of the most popular Forex traders in this country.

Sadly, the one who coached me for Forex trading stopped trading in 2008, because of subprime crises and market crashes. He lacked risk control skills.

I pressed on, to become a regular columnist in a popular newspaper, writing about Forex trading on daily basis. I also provided trading signals for people, as well as trading my personal accounts.

I have 2 powerful manual strategies that I use. I developed the strategies based on my many years of experience. Trainees who apply my strategies have been sharing wonderful testimonies since.

A few years ago, I fell ill. Diagnosis revealed that I had cancer of the bone marrow. I required surgery in a foreign hospital. I gathered all the funds I could gather, and well-wishers and friends also contributed what they could.

I was transported to a foreign country (I was already paralyzed).

Luckily, the surgery was successful. I can say, partially successful, for the paralysis was partially corrected. I can now speak and use my hands. I can also stand up, but I cannot walk.

While I was on a hospital bed and my legs were tied. I was trading profitably on mobile devices. I was even providing trading signals and mentorship to people online.

Then, a client couldn’t believe I was providing services to clients on a hospital bed until we connected on Skype, doing video calls. I was seen trading on a bed, while I was strapped to the bed.

Several months ago, I came back to my country, and I have continued trading, training and providing signals since then.

[He burst into tears].

Traders. Let me tell you this. Online trading remains the best tool for financial freedom. Please do anything possible to become a winning trader.

Look at my condition now. I am advanced in age. I can only stand up, but I cannot walk. I need crutches and a wheelchair to move about.

Imagine. If I was someone who did 9.00 A.M – 5.00 P.M. work, what would be my lot now? My employers would have laid me off. If I was fortunate enough to get anything from them, it could have been exhausted by now.

I would have become a beggar by now. Or what makes me special when compared to other handicapped persons who have now become beggars? Clearly, online trading makes the difference!

Imagine. If I go to Mr. Henry to beg for $30, I would finish spending it. If I go to Mr. Johnson to beg for $20, I would finish spending it.

If Mr. Johnson was kind enough to give me $20 three times. He would eventually stop giving me more money because he got his own responsibilities. He might not pick my calls again; or he would instruct his folks to tell me he is not at home, when I visit him next (to beg for money).

This is a lesson you must learn. Please learn from my story. I trade on a wheelchair, and I make money from signals provision, coaching and trading. I can sustain myself, my wife, my 3 kids and my aged mother.”

He dropped the mic.

And the forum ended.

I conclude this articles with the 3 quotes below:

“You must be disciplined in following the plan of your trade religiously. Once you have closed your position, you should record everything about the trade. Write down where you wanted to enter the trade, what you expected out of the trade, and what you actually did get out of the trade. Make sure to include notes that will help you learn from the trade, reasoning what actually took place once you entered the trade. Explain why the trade was a winner or a loser. If you keep detailed records, you can learn from past trades and increase your chances of recognizing your strengths and weaknesses. Build on your strengths and stay away from trades you have demonstrated weakness in.” – Andy Jordan (Source: Tradingeducators.com)

“Humans are an error based machine, we make mistakes and perfection is never really on our radar despite our best efforts. The realisation that mistakes are at the core of good trading is hard for many to accept as they are locked into the belief that you cannot make money if you get trades wrong. Fortunately there is no nexus between making money and being right. Many, many years ago i discovered that the fewer fucks I gave the more I made. To revert to a past life choice of mine – you could never be a fighter if your expectation was that you would never be hit.” – Chris Tate

“Avoid illiquid markets. Be sure to check volume. How much is it on average and is it steady day after day. And perhaps the greatest lesson of all should you happen to leap before you look--never, ever trade on hope or stay in a trade based on hope. If you are wrong, get out. If you don't have the discipline to do that, you shouldn't be trading.” – Joe Ross

Traders’ realities: http://www.advfnbooks.com/books/unlo...ial/index.html

Source: www.tallinex.com



Trading on a wheelchair – Life’s lessons
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When is the market worthy of trading?

lundi 19 mars 2018
There are many people who do not know when it is the best time to trade in a market. They place one trades and think they are going to make money. Every market is Forex is different and if you do not know when it is worthy of trading, you will have a hard time making money in Forex. This article will tell you how you can make money in Forex and know if your market is worthy of trading. This is the biggest market and money are flying here and there. It does not say that anybody can be successful in Forex. Most of the people lose their money because they did not know if their market was worthy of trading. This article will tell you if the market that you are trading in Forex is worthy of your money. It will help you to know when it is the best time to trade with your money in Forex.

Finding the perfect trade is very hard. Most of the novice traders say that they always see trading signals in their chart. But if you ask the professional traders, they will say quality trading signals are very hard to find. Becoming a successful trader in the online trading industry is extremely challenging and you need to learn lots of new things. If you think your emotions will help you to find the most profitable trades you are completely wrong. You have to develop a perfect trading strategy which will help you to find the most profitable trades in favor of the market trend.
As a full-time trader, you need to learn the precise art of technical analysis. Instead of depending on indicators readings. Try to learn the different chart pattern. Make sure that you are using the higher time frame in your trading platform since it will help you to avoid the false trading signals. Never take too much risk even if you spot the perfect trade setup. Always remember that this market is all about probability and there is nothing you can do to avoid the losing trades. Make sure that you placing your trades by assessing the quality of your trading signals in your trading platform. Never trade the market against the market trend. Always follow the long-term trend since it will reduce your risk exposure to a great extent.

When the market overlaps
The best time to place your trade on the market is when the market overlaps. You know trading in Forex is done worldwide and you can have a good time if you place your trades when this market overlaps. There is money in overlapping and you will have more profit. Successful traders like the time when this market overlaps. You should also do trading in when these markets are overlapping.

Are there obvious trading patterns?
Many people like to trade with the obvious patterns but it is no good. If you can trade with the obvious patterns, there will be other people also who will be taking the trades. If Forex was easy, people would have waited for these trends and make money. You have to now and see the picture that the market is not telling you. This is where you will need your analyses in Forex. These analyses can tell you if you need to know anything that is not on your chart. If there are no trends but only the obvious, it would be better not to trade.

When there is volatility
Many people like to trade in volatility because it is where you can money. If you do not know how to trade in volatility, you should trade in demo accounts before you are trading in Forex. In volatile markets, the prices go up and down and you will have more chance of making your profit. A volatile market is a good market for your trading. You can make money if you know how to trade in volatile market trends.



When is the market worthy of trading?
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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 19 - 23, 2018)

dimanche 18 mars 2018
Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Neutral
The market is generally, neutral. It initially made bullish effort last week, reaching the resistance line at 1.2400, and then retraced towards the south. Price is now below the resistance line at 1.2300, going towards the support lines at 1.2250 and 1.2200. Any rallies could be contained at the resistance line at 1.2400. There will not be much movements across the markets this week. However, next week will witness a strong volatility.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
In the medium-term, this market is bullish. Since the support level at 0.9200 was tested in February 16, 2018, price has rallied by over 300 pips, closing above the support level at 0.9500 on Friday. There is a tendency for the market to continue going upwards, especially when EURUSD shows signs of further weakness. Thus the resistance levels at 0.9550, 0.9600 and, ultimately 0.9650, could be reached this week.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Neutral
Cable has become neutral, particularly since a few weeks ago. Last week, price rose above the accumulation territory at 1.3900, and then moved sideways throughout the week. There is a distribution territory at 1.4050, which must be broken to the upside, for a bullish bias to form. There is also an accumulation territory at 1.3800, which must be broken to the downside, to form a bearish bias.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
Since January 8, 2018, this trading instrument has dropped 750 pips, testing the demand level at 105.50 several times. Price has not been able to stay below that demand level, but that does not rule out the possibility of testing it again. The demand level at 105.50 would offer a stiff resistance to further bearish movement. That means a strong selling pressure would be needed for the demand level to be breached to the downside. Otherwise, a rally will surface.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market has been in a vivid bearish mode since February 2. The demand zone at 129.50 was tested, and further bearish movement was restricted. A period of consolidation and bullish attempt were witnessed, but price is currently pointing southwards, now close to the demand zone at 130.00, which would be breached to the downside as price goes towards another demand zone at 129.50, where bears will encounter fierce opposition.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
From the low of March 2, price has risen by roughly 450 pips. However in the past few days, price has been coming downwards gradually. Further downwards movement could result in confirmation of a new bearish outlook. There are demand zones at 147.00, 146.50 and 146.00. The demand zone at 146.00 may do a good job in preventing more southwards journey. A very strong rally is expected before the end of this week.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Good trading times may be just ahead. Are you ready? It's times like these when the right mental edge can make all the difference…. It's vital that you approach trading with the proper mindset. Be ready to work hard and do whatever it takes to come out a winner. You can trade profitably if you put in the time and effort. Think optimistically, work hard, and take home the profits!” – Joe Ross

Source: www.tallinex.com



Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 19 - 23, 2018)
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Results PAMM Accounts offer

vendredi 16 mars 2018
Using the PAMM Account as a means of pooling money into trading, the account manager can trade with larger volumes and therefore has the chance of receiving larger returns. Investors place funds in the manager's account and the manager's positive trading outcomes are reflected in the PAMM Account rating which, in turn, serves as an advertisement for the PAMM Account. The manager trades, generating profits which attract further investment and a larger amount of funds is traded on behalf of investors.

The participants of the PAMM Account structure include: the broker who provides the service, traders (or money managers) and investors. So, investors who want to profit from trading but lack the time or skill to do so need not trade independently; having only to invest funds in PAMM Accounts. So then, PAMM Accounts mean entrusting funds to managers. The managers are experienced and professional traders who manage others people's money along with their own capital.

The agreement between the manager and investors is outlined in the Manager's Proposal and is the basis for investor consent to take on a risk by making their money available to selected managers who will dispose of the funds according to their own skills and strategy. Furthermore, the agreement sets the size of the charge for the service manager provides. It may be a definite sum of money or a percentage.

The work with the account starts with its opening and the initial investment is the manager's capital: a non-withdrawable amount which secures the manager's interest in the account. The manager is not permitted to remove this capital as it serves as an assurance for prospective investors that the account will be operated responsibly. The managers advertise the account's activity, offering certain conditions and indicating profits received. As such, the brokers advertise the account in ratings on their websites, but they do not bear responsibility for any losses or profits as they are not involved in any trading activity.

Profits are then distributed at the end of each trading period between the manager and the investors. At the same time the broker may distribute funds, acting as a regulator where manager's act unfairly.

PAMM Accounts offer a lot of advantages to managers as well as to investors.You can forex profit calculator and If you are a successful trader acting as a manager, you receive profit not only from your own funds but also a percentage of the investor's profit and you can set this amount in the Manger's Proposal. The managers define the conditions, control degree over the trade terms, trade period and the distribution way of profits. These are the conditions that the investors must agree to.

For the investors the advantages are no less. The first benefit is the trading professionalism of effective managers. Additionally, there is a possibility to withdraw money from PAMM Accounts at any moment where investors are unsatisfied by the results and the manager's trading style. To reduce risk, the investor can diversify their investments across a number of accounts.



Results PAMM Accounts offer
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EURUSD: trading expected within a range of 1.2348 – 1.2410

vendredi 16 mars 2018
On Wednesday the 14th of March, trading on the EURUSD pair closed down. The drop started during the European session from the 112th degree and the trend line. The rate dropped from 1.2413 to reach 1.2361. The euro’s drop was facilitated by Mario Draghi’s speech. He said that a strong euro would temper inflation, which is currently at a low level and needs to become more sustainable before ending the asset purchasing program.

The market then entered a phase of high volatility following reports that President Trump is considering imposing tariffs on up to 60bn USD of Chinese goods in order to address America’s trade deficit with China.

In the US session, the euro slumped to 1.2347 before closing at 1.2367 as weak US retail sales data weighed down on the dollar.

In forex trade ideas for today, My prediction that buyers wouldn’t induce a breakout of the trend line yesterday turned out to be correct. They didn’t even try testing it, giving way to Mario Draghi’s speech. After dropping to the balance line, the EURUSD pair entered a sideways phase.

At the time of writing, the euro is trading at 1.2372. I reckon that fluctuations on this pair today will be limited to a range of 1.2348 – 1.2410. According to my calculations, the rate should drop to the trend line at 1.2350 (45 degrees) before rising to reach 1.2403 (45 degrees). So basically, I’m looking at movement between the 45th degrees.

1.2350 is a support level. If sellers manage to break it, the road to 1.2310 will open up. If the hourly bar closes below 1.2350, the case for growth disappears.



EURUSD: trading expected within a range of 1.2348 – 1.2410
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USD/CAD

mardi 13 mars 2018
Estimated pivot point is at a level of 1.2852.

Main scenario: long positions will be relevant from corrections above the level of 1.2852 with a target of 1.3131.

Alternative scenario: breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.2852 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.2808 – 1.2763.

Analysis: Supposedly, the third wave of senior level 3 of (5) continues to develop within the 4-hour time frame. Apparently, the third wave iii of 3 is forming now in the form of an impetus, with the wave (iii) of iii of junior level finished and the local correction (iv) of iii developing within. If the presumption is correct, the pair will logically continue to rise to the level of 1.3131. The level 1.2852 may be critical in this scenario.

The binary options account are good if you start in the forex market



USD/CAD
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EURUSD Sell at 1.2356

mardi 13 mars 2018
On Friday the 9th of March, trading on the EURUSD pair closed slightly down. The key event of the day for currency markets was the US jobs report (Nonfarm payrolls). Before its release, the exchange rate was hovering around 1.2305.

313,000 new jobs were added outside the agricultural sector in the US in February against a forecast of 205,000. The figure for December was revised upwards from 160,000 to 175,000, and for January from 200,000 to 239,000. This brings the aggregate revision to +54,000. The unemployment level remained at 4.1% (forecast: 4.1%). Average earnings rose by 0.1%, missing its target of 0.2%.

The report shows reasonably high economic growth in the US. In reaction to this, the euro initially dropped to 1.2273 before recovering to 1.2334. By the time trading closed, the dollar had erased all its gains as traders paid close attention to the sluggish wage growth, which is an important factor for the Federal Reserve when deciding on interest rates.

The euro received an additional boost from reports that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un is willing to hold talks with US President Donald Trump. This created an appetite for risk.


The exchange rate recovered to the 45th degree from the 1.2273 low. This created an intraday reversal model.

Since today is Monday and the economic calendar is virtually empty, I think that after a small downwards correction, the pair will continue to the 67th degree at 1.2356. It’s worth noting that the major euro crosses, except for the EURJPY and EURAUD, are trading up and providing support to the euro bulls. All this means that if the dollar continues to drop across the board, the euro could reach 1.2356 against it by the time trading gets underway in London. From here, I expect a downwards correction to 1.2318. Trading will look mostly flat today.
See more forex currency analysis in Alpari.com



EURUSD Sell at 1.2356
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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 12 - 16, 2018)

dimanche 11 mars 2018
Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Neutral
The market did not do anything significant last week. In fact, the market has generally been choppy since February 2018. There is a support line at 1.2150 and a resistance line at 1.2450. As long as price moves within the aforementioned support and resistance lines, the neutrality in the market will continue. Ultimately, price will either go below the support line at 1.2150 to form a bearish bias; or it may go above the resistance line at 1.2450 to form a bullish bias.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
In the short-term, the market is bullish. However, it is neutral in the medium-term and bearish in the long-term. Now, in the short-term, price moved sideways from Monday to Wednesday and then rose on Thursday, becoming bullish. From the support level at 0.9350, price rose above the support level at 0.9500, closing above it on Friday. There could be further upwards movement, but it will not last long because a considerable amount of pullback is expected this week, owing to a bullish outlook on CHF, which may cause other CHF pairs to go bearish (and USDCHF included).

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
Cable is bearish in the long-term, but neutral in the short-term. What happened last week is best called consolidation, because there was no strong directional movement in favor of the bull or the bear. A directional movement is supposed to happen this week, as GBP rises against some currencies like USD, but it may drop versus other currencies like NZD. There are accumulation territories at 1.3800, 1.3750 and 1.3700. Likewise, there are distribution territories at 1.3900, 1.3950 and 1.4000.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The outlook on this pair remains bearish, but some bullish effort was made last week. For instance, price rose from the demand level at 105.50, to test the supply level at 107.00. This kind of price action can only threaten the extant bearish bias when price gains additional 150 pips, from here. There are demand levels at 106.50, 106.00 and 105.50. Likewise, there are supply levels at 107.00, 107.50 and 108.00.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
Price moved sideways on March 5, rose upwards later that day and on March 6, but then consolidated throughout last week. The consolidation can continue this week, but a rise in momentum is also expected. When a breakout occurs, it will most likely be in favor of the bear, because the outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week. Therefore, initial targets may be put at the demand zones of 131.00, 130.50 and 130.00.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market is bearish, but it made bullish effort throughout last week. Last week, it rose from the demand zone at 145.50, to test the supply zone at 148.50 (over 300-pip movement). The upwards movement was considerable enough, but that may turn out to be an opportunity to go short when price rises in the context of a downtrend. The outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week. Within this week and next, the market is expected to drop at least, 300 pips. The demand zone at 145.50 is the initial target and that may be exceeded eventually.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:

“Try to be humble, honest, and ready to face your own shortcomings as a trader. If you can do, you will have a better chance to be consistently profitable.” – Andy Jordan

Source: www.tallinex.com



Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 12 - 16, 2018)
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Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 5 - 9, 2018)

samedi 3 mars 2018
Here’s the market outlook for the week:

EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
The market is bearish, and the bearishness has been in place since February 16. Last week, price moved briefly below the support line at 1.2200, and then rallied in the context of a downtrend. Unless the rally enables price to overcome the resistance lines at 1.2400 and 1.2450, it would merely turn out to be another short-selling opportunity. The support lines at 1.2250, 1.2200 and 1.2150 could be reached this week.

USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bullish
This pair is bearish in the long-term, neutral in the short-term, and it is quite choppy at the present. The bearishness in the market has been in place since early November 2017; plus last week was rough. Price rose from the support level at 0.9350, went above the resistance level at 0.9450, only to drop towards the support level at 0.9350 again. A breach of the support levels at 0.9350, 0.9300 and finally, 0.9250, would bring about a bearish outlook on the market. A movement to the upside would save the extant bullish bias.

GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bearish
This trading instrument dropped steeply last week, losing 300 pips from the high of Monday. The movement on Friday was somehow flat, but price is expected to resume its southwards journey this week. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for the week, and thus, this instrument could go towards the accumulation territories at 1.3750, 1.3700 (which has been previously tested), and 1.3650.

USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
This pair consolidated from Monday to Thursday, and then began to come downwards (to place more emphasis on the bearishness of the market). Price has gone below the supply levels at 106.50, and 106.00; and it may test the demand levels at 105.50, breaching it to the downside as another demand level at 105.00 targeted. On the other hand, a strong reversal could occur, which would result in a threat to the current bearish bias.

EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
It is interesting to see EURJPY being engaged in a long, protracted bearish movement. Since the beginning of February, at least, 700 pups have been shed. In the past few weeks, short-term rallies have been invariably followed by further southwards movements. Price would continue moving downwards towards the demand zones at 130.00, 129.50 and 129.00. Nonetheless, a strong rally is in the offing, as the outlook on EUR pairs is bullish for this week.

GBPJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
The recent price movement on GBPJPY is similar to that of EURJPY, except the fact that GBPJPY moves faster than EURJPY. For instance, since testing the supply zone at 156.50 on February 2, price has gone downwards by more than 1,100 pips, reaching the demand zone at 145.00. More than 450 pips got dropped last week alone! All this has brought about a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market, which points to the possibility of price reaching other demand zones at 140.00 and 139.50. However, there could also be a strong bullish reversal in the market.

This forecast is concluded with the quote below:


“A strategy is a definitive set of rules that specifies the exact conditions under which trades will be established, managed and closed.” - Jean Folger

Source: www.tallinex.com



Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (March 5 - 9, 2018)
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Formal education versus trading skills

vendredi 2 mars 2018
WHY ONLY SORBONNE-EDUCATED, LITERATURE PH.D.S SHOULD CUT YOUR HAIR

You get a haircut every few weeks. Everyone does. Men, women, children. Even balding men need a trim occasionally (as I’m finding out, sadly).

But what if I told you that you’ve been doing this all wrong?

What if I told you that your barber, or hairdresser, is terribly under-qualified. That you have been risking your hair — which is just a few centimeters from your brain, after all — to an under-educated, under-trained amateur.

What if I insisted you were making a huge mistake in your barber choice. Instead of your current choice, you should choose another kind of haircutter. A better one. This one should be qualified. He (or she) should be properly educated. He should hold a Ph.D.

In Comparative Literature.

From the Sorbonne.

If I told you that, what would you say?

You’d say I was crazy.

Because having a Comparative Literature degree from a French university has absolutely nothing to do with how you perform at cutting hair. Of course.

But wait a second. Such “crazy” advice is given to us every day. Very smart people, with net worths of millions of dollars… even billions of dollars… regularly follow similar advice.

I’m speaking about the hedge-fund industry. This is an industry that manages almost a trillion dollars of civilization’s wealth. The role of the hedge fund is to produce “alpha” — a fancy way to say that it is asked to produce “market-beating returns.” If you are a wealthy person who, over her lifetime has earned ten million dollars, you prefer not to leave all your cash sitting in a bank, earning negative interest rates, after inflation. You want your wealth to earn a return. And so you give a portion of it to a hedge fund.

Thus the “hedge fund industry” plays an important role in the financial world.

You would think, wouldn’t you, that the people who run hedge funds would want to hire the most talented traders and analysts to work at their firm. You would think that hedge-fund customers would insist upon such a thing. You would think that hedge-fund hiring departments would scour the world, looking for smart people who have creative and interesting ideas about how to manage money — how to create those market-beating returns while controlling risk.

Except… none of this is true.

In fact, the world of hedge funds is bizarrely insular. If you do not live in New York, if you do not live in London, if you did not win the birth lottery by being born in an English-speaking country, if you did not go to Harvard, if you did not get a job at Goldman… well, then, good luck getting a job at a hedge fund. I suppose you can apply, but… don’t let the door hit you on the way out.

Which is strange, when you think about it, because all those qualities: where you live, what language you speak, what name is on your diploma, whether you held a job at Goldman Sachs — all of those things are entirely unrelated to how you will perform as a trader or investor.

In other words, the hedge-fund industry operates as if it thinks all hair-cutters must hold Literature Ph.D.’s from the Sorbonne.

Everyone in the industry knows this is absurd — that the performance of any new hire is orthogonal to where a person went to school, or even if he did; or to where a person held her last job.

I’ll take this a step further. Really smart hedge-fund operators ought to know that hiring one more me-too Harvard ex-Goldman prop trader will generate, at best, me-too performance. Every Goldman clone will have similar “ideas,” will look in the same places for financial opportunities, will pile into the same lame trades, will follow the same stampeding herd.

Here’s an idea. What if we hired hair-cutters who were actually good at… cutting hair?

My company, Collective2, has a mission. It’s a simple one. We are going to destroy the entire hedge-fund industry. We are going to tear it down, burn it to ash, plow salt into its earth.

We think that anyone can generate alpha.

No, not that everyone can… simply that anyone might:

1. That guy in India, who didn’t win the lottery by being born near Manhattan, but who can code algos to predict market movements.

2. That doctor in Boston, who has a full time job helping humans live longer, and who has utterly no desire to work at a hedge fund, thank you very much; …but who notices that one particular pharma company’s sales reps seem to be applying high-pressure sales tactics, and who therefore decides to short its stock.

3. That Chicago-School economist, whose ten years of research have shown him that cartels inevitably collapse, and who therefore shorts oil futures, knowing that OPEC’s latest “production quota” announcement is just a bunch of hot air.

Here’s the thing about trading performance. It’s the one job in the world where it’s obvious who’s good at it, and who’s not. You simply look at the person’s track record. Nothing else matters. Not where a person lives. Not which company he worked at five years ago. The performance matters. That’s it. Period. Full stop.

Please read more here: https://trade.collective2.com/french-barbers


Source: Collective2.com. Reproduced with permission.

This article is also concluded with 3 more quotes:

“… Don't personify the markets. Anger is an interpersonal emotion. We are usually angry with someone because we believe that he or she has purposely tried to harm us. The markets may consist of people making trades, but it doesn't make sense to make up imaginary relationships with the markets. There is nothing that is personal going on. You are merely making it personal, and taking setbacks personally, as if someone were out to wrong you. The people participating in the markets may engage in actions that thwart your goals, but their actions are not directed toward you personally. It is best to look at the markets as an abstract impersonal entity. Pretend you are playing a videogame. The more impersonal you can make trading, the better you will feel, and the more profits you'll realize.” – Joe Ross (Source: Tradingeducators.com)

“There is a fundamental disconnect between the reality of trading and the academic and regulatory interpretation of how markets should work in a bubble. Unfortunately, too many traders get sucked into the complexities of academia and think that such intricacies are the ticket to their salvation. As always we come back to the notion that trading is a simple affair that is driven not by what the market does but by your reaction to it.” – Chris Tate

“By design, my trading system produces a highly asymmetric return with 80% of my total gains coming from 20% of my trades. Since the majority of profits from the system come from a minority of trades, missing out on just one could be a costly error as it could become one of the most profitable trades.” – VTI

www.tallinex.com wants you to become a successful trader



Formal education versus trading skills
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